MSFT
VideoChart walkthrough: the MSFT levels I'm watching into the close
A short chart walkthrough of the MSFT levels that matter today.
MSFT28 Jul· 2 min
Amara Okafor Verified
8 notes · 50 subscribers · publishing since May 2026
Central-bank reaction functions, dollar liquidity, and rates positioning for private investors. Clear scenarios, clearer invalidation levels.
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Notes
8TLT
FreeThe dot plot is doing the tightening for them
Financial conditions eased faster than the committee wanted — that gets talked back.
TLT26 Jul· 6 min
DXY
FreeThe dollar smile is flattening
Both tails of the smile need a growth shock. We don't have one.
DXY20 Jul· 5 min
TLT
SubscribersTLT: positioning for the next CPI print
Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on TLT. Subscribe to read on.
TLT15 May· 10 min
IEF
FreeTrimming duration — my IEF exit plan
Positioning is one-sided into the print, which is exactly when the surprise hurts most.
IEF13 May· 7 min
UUP
SubscribersThe dollar setup nobody's hedging
Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on UUP. Subscribe to read on.
UUP9 May· 3 min
Trimming duration — my UUP exit plan
Liquidity is tightening at the margin even as risk assets pretend otherwise.
UUP9 Apr· 7 min
What a steeper curve means for IEF
Liquidity is tightening at the margin even as risk assets pretend otherwise.
IEF26 Mar· 6 min
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Track Record
VerifiedLast 30 Days · Shares+8.2%
Cumulative Return · 5 Closed
80%
Win Rate
+5.4%
Best Call
7d
Average Hold
100
Closed Calls · 8 in 30 Days
SCHW Long
$428.48 → $417.85 · Jul 20 – Jul 26 · 6d Hold
-2.5%
MA Long
$134.97 → $142.24 · Jul 11 – Jul 19 · 8d Hold
+5.4%
AMD Call $347.59
$2.78 → $2.83 · Jul 5 – Jul 17 · 12d Hold · exp Jul 24
+2.0%
TLT Call $234.12
$5.88 → $6.04 · Jul 6 – Jul 16 · 10d Hold · exp Jul 23
+2.7%
MU Call $190.81
$6.87 → $7.25 · Jul 5 – Jul 13 · 8d Hold · exp Jul 20
+5.5%
DXY Short
$99.80 → $98.40 · Jul 9 – Jul 11 · 2d Hold
+1.4%
Gold (GLD) Long
$227.17 → $232.15 · Jun 29 – Jul 6 · 7d Hold
+2.2%
AVGO Long
$354.08 → $359.82 · Jun 22 – Jul 4 · 12d Hold
+1.6%
Live Calls Are Subscriber-Only
The verified record above is public. Subscribe to see live calls as they open — entry, conviction, settlement, and the full thesis.
OptionsModeled
+3.4%
Avg Modeled Return · 3 Closed
100%
Win Rate
+5.5%
Best Call
10d
Average Hold
0%
Each bar is one closed option call's modeled return, oldest to newest. Premiums are modeled with Black-Scholes from the live underlying + its historical volatility, and settle at intrinsic value on expiry — a consistent estimate, not exact traded fills.
Opinion. The author may or may not hold positions discussed. Not advice. Not a financial promotion approved under FSMA s.21. Quote data is delayed. Figures are computed automatically from third-party market data and may contain errors; option figures are modeled, not traded fills. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.