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Priya Nair

Mega-cap & AI capex

Priya Nair

Following the cash: ad cycles, AI capex, and valuation ranges across the platforms that move the index.

Verified@megacapnotes71 subscribersSince May 2026

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Track record

· last 30 days Verified
Shares
+838.6%Verified cumulative return · 8 closed
75%Win rate
+59.4%Avg return
+395.6%Best call
+80.0%Avg win
-2.3%Avg loss
2WStreak
9dAvg hold

Closed calls

8 in 30 days
AAPLmonthlyLong
$61.99 → $307.23 · Jun 1–Jun 7 · 6d hold
+395.6%
Gold (GLD)weeklyLong
$386.96 → $394.45 · May 22–Jun 4 · 13d hold
+1.9%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)Long
$189.67 → $185.53 · May 9–May 29 · 20d hold
-2.2%
S&P 500 (SPY)weeklyLong
$454.40 → $756.16 · May 15–May 21 · 6d hold
+66.4%
Crude Oil (WTI) (USO)weeklyLong
$337.18 → $344.30 · May 2–May 19 · 17d hold
+2.1%
S&P 500 (SPY)monthlyLong
$432.66 → $462.93 · May 14–May 19 · 5d hold
+7.0%
Silver (SLV)monthlyShort
$255.92 → $262.07 · May 17–May 19 · 2d hold
-2.4%
Gold (GLD)monthlyLong
$461.14 → $493.62 · May 13–May 19 · 6d hold
+7.0%
OptionsModeled
+104.7%Avg modeled return per call · 4 closed
75%Win rate

Each bar is one closed option call's modeled return, oldest to newest. Premiums are modeled with Black-Scholes from the live underlying + its historical volatility, and settle at intrinsic value on expiry — a consistent estimate, not exact traded fills.

+104.7%Avg return
+231.7%Best call
+168.2%Avg win
-85.8%Avg loss
3WStreak
10dAvg hold

Closed calls

4 in 30 days
GOOGLPut $166.82 exp May 27
$4.64 → $15.39 · May 16–May 27 · 11d hold
+231.7%
AMZNPut $176.5 exp May 20
$7.00 → $19.77 · May 15–May 20 · 5d hold
+182.4%
AAPLPut $227.72 exp May 20
$9.61 → $1.36 · May 14–May 20 · 6d hold
-85.8%
GOOGLCall $176.47 exp May 20
$4.92 → $9.37 · May 2–May 20 · 18d hold
+90.4%
+Shares vs options — what's the difference?
SharesYou own the stock. The return is the underlying's move (entry → exit), linear, and you can hold as long as you like. Steadier, lower leverage.
OptionsYou buy a contract (a call or put at a strike, expiring on a date). The return is on the premium — leveraged (a small stock move can be a huge % on the option) and time-sensitive (value decays toward expiry). Higher risk and reward; here the premium is modeled, not self-reported.

Live calls

1 open
Live calls are subscriber-only

The verified record above is public. Subscribe to see live calls as they open — entry, conviction, settlement, and the full thesis.

4 notes 12-name core book3-12 months average holdDefined risk
FreeMega-cap TechAMZNMay 13

AMZN earnings preview: what I'm watching

Ad reacceleration plus margin discipline is a combination the market keeps doubting.

ShortLow convictionDefined risk risk 9 min read
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PaidMega-cap TechMSFTApr 15

MSFT — trimming into strength

Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on MSFT. Subscribe to read on.

Neutral / hedgedLow convictionDefined risk risk 11 min read
MSMSFTLoading delayed quote
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PaidMega-cap TechAMZNApr 14

AMZN earnings preview: what I'm watching (Part 2)

Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on AMZN. Subscribe to read on.

Neutral / hedgedMedium convictionDefined risk risk 11 min read
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PaidMega-cap TechMSFTMar 7

The MSFT setup the Street is mispricing

Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on MSFT. Subscribe to read on.

Neutral / hedgedMedium convictionDefined risk risk 4 min read
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