AAPL
FreeAAPL: services margin is the whole story
Hardware pays the rent. Services is the business.
AAPL14 Jul· 6 min
Sam Whitfield
4 notes · 12 subscribers · publishing since May 2026
Product-led reads on the mega-caps — what ships, what monetises, and what the Street is mispricing.
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4AAPL
FreeWhy AAPL still compounds from here
The cash engine funds the AI build-out without breaking the model — that's underrated.
AAPL6 Apr· 9 min
MSFT
SubscribersMSFT: the AI capex question
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MSFT12 Mar· 5 min
MSFT
SubscribersMSFT — trimming into strength (Part 2)
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MSFT6 Mar· 11 min
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Track Record
VerifiedLast 30 Days · Shares+1.2%
Cumulative Return · 13 Closed
92%
Win Rate
+1.5%
Best Call
2d
Average Hold
100
Closed Calls · 18 in 30 Days
TLT Long
$299.90 → $302.03 · Jul 19 – Jul 22 · 3d Hold
+0.7%
COIN Call $218.74
$8.87 → $8.98 · Jul 19 – Jul 22 · 3d Hold · exp Jul 29
+1.3%
PYPL Short
$162.28 → $160.62 · Jul 16 – Jul 19 · 3d Hold
+1.0%
COIN Call $42.67
$13.61 → $12.62 · Jul 17 – Jul 19 · 2d Hold · exp Jul 26
-7.3%
NFLX Short
$365.84 → $360.90 · Jul 16 – Jul 19 · 2d Hold
+1.4%
NVDA Long
$444.33 → $396.03 · Jul 17 – Jul 18 · 2d Hold
-10.9%
CRM Long
$320.83 → $322.95 · Jul 15 – Jul 18 · 3d Hold
+0.7%
JPM Call $343.06
$11.31 → $11.37 · Jul 14 – Jul 17 · 3d Hold · exp Jul 24
+0.6%
AAPL Long
$327.19 → $331.90 · Jul 14 – Jul 16 · 1d Hold
+1.4%
GOOGL Short
$452.85 → $448.23 · Jul 13 – Jul 15 · 2d Hold
+1.0%
MU Put $334.53
$8.96 → $9.03 · Jul 10 – Jul 12 · 3d Hold · exp Jul 19
+0.7%
NVDA Long
$309.21 → $313.69 · Jul 9 – Jul 12 · 3d Hold
+1.4%
MA Call $162.91
$11.57 → $11.71 · Jul 10 – Jul 12 · 2d Hold · exp Jul 19
+1.2%
TLT Long
$202.76 → $205.88 · Jul 8 – Jul 10 · 1d Hold
+1.5%
GOOGL Long
$422.45 → $427.14 · Jul 5 – Jul 8 · 3d Hold
+1.1%
CVX Long
$381.62 → $387.19 · Jul 5 – Jul 7 · 2d Hold
+1.5%
ASML Short
$326.49 → $325.12 · Jul 2 – Jul 4 · 2d Hold
+0.4%
AVGO Short
$369.39 → $367.03 · Jun 29 – Jul 1 · 2d Hold
+0.6%
Live Calls Are Subscriber-Only
The verified record above is public. Subscribe to see live calls as they open — entry, conviction, settlement, and the full thesis.
OptionsModeled
-0.7%
Avg Modeled Return · 5 Closed
80%
Win Rate
+1.3%
Best Call
2d
Average Hold
0%
Each bar is one closed option call's modeled return, oldest to newest. Premiums are modeled with Black-Scholes from the live underlying + its historical volatility, and settle at intrinsic value on expiry — a consistent estimate, not exact traded fills.
Opinion. The author may or may not hold positions discussed. Not advice. Not a financial promotion approved under FSMA s.21. Quote data is delayed. Figures are computed automatically from third-party market data and may contain errors; option figures are modeled, not traded fills. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.