MDT
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MDT21 May· 8 min
Owen Pierce
3 notes · 9 subscribers · publishing since May 2026
Med-tech adoption curves and pharma pipelines. Durable healthcare compounding, less binary risk.
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Notes
3Reading MDT into the data
The risk/reward into the readout is asymmetric if you size the basket right.
MDT11 Apr· 7 min
Why ISRG's readout is asymmetric
Pipeline option value is being given away at the current multiple.
ISRG1 Apr· 4 min
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Track Record
VerifiedLast 30 Days · Shares+12.6%
Cumulative Return · 7 Closed
71%
Win Rate
+6.5%
Best Call
6d
Average Hold
100
Closed Calls · 8 in 30 Days
PYPL Put $374.2
$5.10 → $5.03 · Jul 7 – Jul 13 · 6d Hold · exp Jul 20
-1.3%
CRM Short
$46.58 → $45.72 · Jul 7 – Jul 11 · 4d Hold
+1.8%
AMZN Long
$131.53 → $135.77 · Jul 4 – Jul 10 · 7d Hold
+3.2%
S&P 500 (SPY) Long
$243.87 → $235.63 · Jul 6 – Jul 10 · 5d Hold
-3.4%
NVDA Long
$350.68 → $364.43 · Jul 6 – Jul 10 · 5d Hold
+3.9%
Gold (GLD) Long
$414.60 → $425.38 · Jul 1 – Jul 7 · 6d Hold
+2.6%
AMZN Long
$356.32 → $347.91 · Jun 30 – Jul 7 · 6d Hold
-2.4%
INTC Long
$32.17 → $34.26 · Jun 24 – Jul 2 · 8d Hold
+6.5%
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The verified record above is public. Subscribe to see live calls as they open — entry, conviction, settlement, and the full thesis.
OptionsModeled
-1.3%
Avg Modeled Return · 1 Closed
0%
Win Rate
-1.3%
Best Call
6d
Average Hold
0%
Each bar is one closed option call's modeled return, oldest to newest. Premiums are modeled with Black-Scholes from the live underlying + its historical volatility, and settle at intrinsic value on expiry — a consistent estimate, not exact traded fills.
Opinion. The author may or may not hold positions discussed. Not advice. Not a financial promotion approved under FSMA s.21. Quote data is delayed. Figures are computed automatically from third-party market data and may contain errors; option figures are modeled, not traded fills. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.