AMD
SubscribersEarnings week: where the premium is mispriced
Subscribers get the full breakdown, the levels, and the position sizing.
AMD21 Jul· 4 min
Sofia Marchetti Verified
6 notes · 30 subscribers · publishing since May 2026
Options-flow interpretation, earnings setups, and post-trade reviews for active traders.
Get more from Sofia
Live calls, the full archive and the subscriber room from $39/month
Latest note
Notes
6SPY
FreeSkew is cheap for the first time this year
Downside protection stopped being expensive. That rarely lasts.
SPY19 Jul· 3 min
QQQ
FreeThe QQQ level that decides the trend (Part 2)
Mean reversion odds are stacked here after this stretch above trend.
QQQ21 May· 3 min
NVDA: the rotation under the surface
The melt-up is running on thin participation, which rarely ends cleanly.
NVDA17 May· 5 min
NVDA
FreeWhy I'm fading this NVDA rally
Mean reversion odds are stacked here after this stretch above trend.
NVDA3 May· 10 min
TSLA: the rotation under the surface
Subscribers get the full thesis, the levels, and my positioning on TSLA. Subscribe to read on.
TSLA17 Mar· 7 min
Membership
Free follower$0
- Public notes in your feed
- New-post notifications
- The verified track record
Free posts land in your feed either way.
Subscriber
Every note in full, plus the archive
Live calls — entry, conviction, exit
Subscriber room & comments
- Live calls
- 2
- Closed · 30d
- 16
- Posts · 30d
- 2
Cancel anytime. Free posts stay free either way.
$39 / month
Billed monthly. Switch or cancel anytime.
Nothing charged until day 4. Cancel anytime during the trial.
Immediate access · refundable within 14 days · Terms
Track Record
VerifiedLast 30 Days · Shares-133.0%
Cumulative Return · 14 Closed
86%
Win Rate
+6.0%
Best Call
3d
Average Hold
100
Closed Calls · 16 in 30 Days
AMD Short
$214.80 → $495.19 · Jul 20 – Jul 27 · 7d Hold
-130.5%
META Long
$257.84 → $260.03 · Jul 23 – Jul 25 · 2d Hold
+0.8%
MU Long
$361.12 → $363.50 · Jul 22 – Jul 25 · 3d Hold
+0.7%
XOM Long
$237.19 → $238.49 · Jul 16 – Jul 17 · 1d Hold
+0.6%
NVDA Long
$367.04 → $371.66 · Jul 15 – Jul 17 · 1d Hold
+1.3%
NFLX Long
$71.63 → $71.99 · Jul 13 – Jul 16 · 2d Hold
+0.5%
TLT Put $418.56
$1.30 → $1.32 · Jul 12 – Jul 15 · 3d Hold · exp Jul 22
+1.5%
AMD Short
$228.40 → $214.80 · Jul 10 – Jul 15 · 5d Hold
+6.0%
MSFT Long
$75.96 → $76.70 · Jul 8 – Jul 11 · 3d Hold
+1.0%
XOM Short
$329.16 → $325.97 · Jul 9 – Jul 10 · 1d Hold
+1.0%
AMD Long
$444.29 → $449.67 · Jul 6 – Jul 8 · 2d Hold
+1.2%
META Put $199.18
$5.47 → $5.54 · Jul 5 – Jul 7 · 3d Hold · exp Jul 14
+1.3%
TLT Long
$253.76 → $256.22 · Jul 5 – Jul 7 · 2d Hold
+1.0%
GS Long
$143.06 → $131.76 · Jul 3 – Jul 5 · 2d Hold
-7.9%
AVGO Long
$411.28 → $414.73 · Jul 1 – Jul 3 · 2d Hold
+0.8%
CVX Long
$263.56 → $267.59 · Jul 1 – Jul 2 · 2d Hold
+1.5%
Live Calls Are Subscriber-Only
The verified record above is public. Subscribe to see live calls as they open — entry, conviction, settlement, and the full thesis.
OptionsModeled
+1.4%
Avg Modeled Return · 2 Closed
100%
Win Rate
+1.5%
Best Call
3d
Average Hold
0%
Each bar is one closed option call's modeled return, oldest to newest. Premiums are modeled with Black-Scholes from the live underlying + its historical volatility, and settle at intrinsic value on expiry — a consistent estimate, not exact traded fills.
Opinion. The author may or may not hold positions discussed. Not advice. Not a financial promotion approved under FSMA s.21. Quote data is delayed. Figures are computed automatically from third-party market data and may contain errors; option figures are modeled, not traded fills. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.