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FreeKMI4 min read

The KMI setup the barrel bears miss

KMI
Delayed

The thesis

Inventories are drawing faster than the curve implies — backwardation tells the story.

Capital discipline is finally structural, and FCF yields reflect disbelief.

What I'm watching

  • KMI FCF yield at strip
  • KMI FCF yield at strip
  • A clean move through the level I flag below

Positioning

Neutral / hedged on KMI, 6-36 months horizon. Conviction: Low. A strip collapse would pressure payouts; coverage is the cushion.

Opinion, not investment advice. The author may or may not hold positions discussed.

Opinion. The author may or may not hold positions discussed. Not advice. Not a financial promotion approved under FSMA s.21. Quote data is delayed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Comments

2 comments
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Rafa Lindstrom·

Saved. The watch-list section alone is worth it.

Hank BrooksAuthor·

This lines up with what I'm seeing in the KMI tape.