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FreeAMZN8 min read

AMZN: margins re-rate from here

AMZN
Delayed

The thesis

Card-spend signals point to a demand turn before the next print.

Traffic data is inflecting ahead of the comp the Street modeled.

What I'm watching

  • gross margin recovery
  • traffic vs ticket mix
  • A clean move through the level I flag below

Positioning

Neutral / hedged on AMZN, 1-4 weeks horizon. Conviction: Low. Promo intensity is the swing factor on margins.

Opinion, not investment advice. The author may or may not hold positions discussed.

Opinion. The author may or may not hold positions discussed. Not advice. Not a financial promotion approved under FSMA s.21. Quote data is delayed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Comments

2 comments
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Ravi Petrov·

Came back to this after the move — held up well.

Mei Nguyen·

Still one of the better write-ups on AMZN.